Well, the Tour de France is over for another year. Alberto Contador beat Andy Schleck by a pretty narrow margin (39 seconds, in case you hadn’t already heard). Lots of comments have been made around the web noting that Contador won by exactly the amount of time he gained after Schleck’s infamous mechanical difficulty. I won’t bore you with any more of that. Kudos to both Schleck and Contador for having the maturity to be friends off the bike, even if they are enemies during the heat of battle.

Color me unimpressed

Floyd Landis appeared on Nightline (Part 1, Part 2, Part 3, print version) last Friday night, in what the show billed as an “exclusive” interview. Supposedly, Neal Karlinsky sat down and interviewed Landis for 90 minutes or thereabouts. Watching the story they put together, I was stunned. Not by any new information — there wasn’t any. I was surprised that ABC News had basically regurgitated the information that has been in the print media for just over two months now. With all the time that’s passed, and all the information that’s been published, I expected that a diligent journalist would try to find some new angle on the story. Or some new tidbit of information that would make the Nightline story stand out from all the others.

The only thing that really stands out about the story is that we can hear Landis speaking for himself. That, and we get to hear from a couple of the usual suspects when it comes to stories of Lance Armstrong and his (alleged) history of doping. Betsey Andreu made an appearance, coming off as calm and well-spoken. Emma O’Reilly makes a cameo, and provides perhaps the most darkly amusing comment of the story. “I was a glorified drug runner,” she told an interviewer.

Landis made a good point during the interview when Karlinsky asked the obvious question about Landis’ credibility.

Nightline: You realize you have serious credibility issues?

Landis: I think that’d be an understatement.

Nightline: You’re an admitted liar and cheat.

Landis: What — what is a person supposed to do when they make the wrong decision? I mean, are you committed to that path for good? Are you — once you tell a lie, are you committed to tell that lie forever?

Once a person goes down a certain path, are they doomed to following that path forever? Or can they change directions? Granted, lying in the past about what he had done and seen wasn’t the best choice for Floyd to make, but can’t a person learn from his mistakes? Seems to me Landis is paying a pretty high price for his choice, and turning things around won’t be easy.

One of Lance’s attorneys, Tim Herman, stands in for his client to rebut Landis’ comments. Herman, by way of trying to prove his client’s innocence, notes that Armstrong has been tested hundreds of times. And that Armstrong has not failed any of those tests. While that’s all true, it doesn’t prove Armstrong is clean. It only proves that the tests didn’t detect anything amiss. It doesn’t even prove whether the tests were accurate or not. Karlinsky could have pointed that out and asked a tough follow-up question or two. But he didn’t.

Landis’ own account (published in stories back in May and early June) of the doping he did from 2002 until 2006 would be a good case in point. While Landis still maintains that he didn’t use testosterone during the 2006 Tour, what’s important to note is that the drugs he does claim to have used weren’t detected. And that goes to show that it was possible to beat the testers at their own game 4 years ago. Someone who learned the ropes, or who had people helping him who had the necessary skills, could game the system. Perhaps that’s still true.

Two months after the original revelations, ABC News should have been able to pull together a story that offered some new insight. Getting Landis to agree with a statement that he’s calling Armstrong a liar is about as good as Karlinksky and company were able to get. That, and the answer to the most obvious question of all: Why come forward now?

It’s about the truth. It’s about me feeling better for having mislead the public. I would like to take this opportunity to just say that I’m sorry for having lied. I’m glad I don’t have to lie. It was hard to do interviews where I was lying. I didn’t feel good about those. (via CyclingNews.com)

No evidence, to my eyes, of Karlinsky asking any follow-up questions of any substance to any of the people shown in the story. Which is a shame, as it could have provided the story with more depth. While Floyd may not come across as smooth, as practiced and as polished as Big Tex, Landis usually provides a few good quips and quotes along the way. Is this all they were able to get? Really? Yawn.

Here we go again

Meanwhile, Armstrong is getting to ride off into the sunset, saying that this was his last Tour, for, like, ever. This next voyage into “retirement” is getting off to the same kind of rocky start as his last one did. Only, the difference is that this time, there are Federal agents and a prosecutor snooping around. Last time, it was just a dustup over lab results. This time, who knows where any of this can lead? As of yesterday, it appears that Federal prosecutors want to look at records from the SCA case, the Wall Street Journal reports. According to the WSJ story:

The documents contain depositions from former teammates and associates of the seven-time Tour de France champion during a period when a promotions company was trying to prove that Mr. Armstrong employed banned drugs and practices—known as doping—during his cycling career.

Jeffrey Tillotson, the attorney who represented the company, SCA Promotions Inc., in the arbitration hearings, said it received a subpoena for the records on July 16. He is preparing to send the files to the federal prosecutors in Los Angeles who are handling the investigation, he said.

One person, GQ correspondent Andrew Corsello, offers up his opinion on what Lance should do in this piece. The headline and subhead give a clue:

Lie Strong

Is Lance Armstrong a doper? At this point, that is officially irrelevant. Lance, you’ve got your story, and even if you’re lying through your teeth, we need you to stick to it

Give Corsello’s essay a look. He makes a rather provocative point about the Lance/Livestrong legend.

Let the bidding wars begin

Three-time Tour champ Contador is set to switch teams next year, leaving Astana all to Alexander Vinokourov and his band of merry men. The BBC and a number of other news organizations are reporting today that Contador rejected Astana’s offer of a contract extension for the coming season. According to the Beeb’s article:

Contador said in a statement that he “will calmly study all of the possibilities on offer for the coming season”, adding that “he hasn’t dismissed any of them”.

However, he did not divulge the offers he was considering.

It will be interesting to see where Contador ends up. One rumor is that Bjarne Riis is courting the Spaniard, because the Schleck brothers will be leaving the Saxo Bank squad. Got to wonder, too, if Team RadioSnack might be in the mix. With Lance gone, they will certainly want to bring on a contender. And Contador is a heavyweight contender for next year, barring illness or injury. Contador has a history with Johan Bruyneel. That said, he’s also proved he can win without Bruyneel’s help. However Alberto Contador decides, I’m guessing that the Contador/Schleck on-the-bike rivalry will be going on for some years to come.

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No Tour de France to watch today? Got a bit of withdrawal from your daily dose of Phil and Paul? Stop on by and read a spell. Maybe it’ll help cure your case of “The Rest Day Blues.”

One for the money, two for the show, three to get ready, now go cat, go…

If Alberto Contador doesn’t win the 2010 Tour de France, it will probably be due to a tactical mistake he made on Stage 15. While debate rages on the etiquette of attacking Andy Schleck, the yellow jersey, after he’d suffered a mechanical problem (Contador could have eased up and waited), it’s a bike race after all. Etiquette may be one thing, but when push comes to shove, the guy with the lowest overall time wins.

The tactical mistake, on the other hand, could play out in Andy Schleck’s favor. Up to now, Schleck and Contador have been shadow boxing and playing mind games with each other on the mountain stages. Schleck clearly appears to be Contador’s match, but the big concern is his time-trialing ability. Can he perform well enough in the race against the clock to maintain a small lead? Well, at the moment, that question is academic. Contador has the slim margin right now. But in pissing off his rival, Contador may have unleashed an energy in Schleck that may well not have come into play had the infamous dropped chain and the subsequent events not occurred. Anger. If Andy Schleck can harness that anger in a positive way, it could fuel his recapturing the maillot jaune. If anger gets the best of him, it could help Contador.

Last night, Contador posted a YouTube apology (complete with subtitles in English). According to Bonnie D. Ford, Contador said that posting the video was his own idea. And he also told Ford that he and Andy Schleck spoke cordially before the start of today’s stage and “things are clear between us.” Sounds like AC is trying to smooth over some ruffled feathers. Looking at Schleck’s Twitter feed just a bit ago, it appears that the two have patched things up — off the bike, at least.

Whether it was a conscious choice or an unfortunate decision made in the heat of battle, and whether Alberto Contador has actually made amends with Andy Schleck, he will have to live with the fallout. Whatever he was thinking at the time, Contador handed Andy Schleck a bit of motivation that could well hurt the Spanish sensation’s shot at a third Tour title by the time the peloton rides down the Champs-Élysées. The saga will come to an end in just about five days’ time.

People are strange, when you’re a stranger

In the ever-ongoing Lance vs. LeMond wars, Armstrong recently told reporters that he hopes Greg LeMond will tell the truth about 1989. For those who weren’t following cycling then, here’s the Cliffs Notes version: LeMond, 50 seconds behind Laurent Fignon going into the final time trial, pulled off one of the most amazing Tour finishes ever. The American beat his rival by 58 seconds in the time trial, winning the overall general classification by a scant 8 seconds. (The 1989 Tour was the last time that a time trial was held on the final day of the race.)

The difference came down to technology. Fignon chose to use a standard time trial setup, LeMond decided to use the latest innovation — clip-on aero bars. Back in the very late 1980s and early 1990s, the consensus was that using aero bars could give a rider as much as a 2 mile-per-hour boost in speed, due to the more efficient aerodynamic positioning it affords — enough of an advantage for LeMond to overcome Fignon’s 50-second lead going into the final stage.

Armstrong, fielding questions about a certain investigation back home, said that he would be happy to cooperate — as long as it wasn’t a witch hunt. And he went on to insinuate that LeMond might have gotten a different kind of boost in 1989 than just the benefit of aero bars. Things are certainly getting uglier in the land of Greg vs. Lance. I guess that’s to be expected.

Other than some vague suggestions in various quarters, no one has ever offered up any serious proof (at least in English) that LeMond wasn’t a squeaky-clean rider back in the day. Just as Lance has never failed an official test (well, except that once, when he got a retroactive therapeutic use exemption to cover his tail end — and maybe that other time when he’s alleged to have made a donation to cover things up — and well … let’s not get into it, shall we?).

I’m guessing it will get uglier before the Novitzky investigation comes to an end.

And if things couldn’t get any stranger…

Alberto Contador actually said something nice about Lance. No, really, he did. Contador told Bonnie D. Ford that “it would have made me happy” if Lance Armstrong had won today’s stage. That didn’t happen, and there are precious few opportunities for the Texan to claim a stage victory in his final Tour. (Or is it?  … Will Lance pull a Favre and come back next year? … I’m just askin’.)

Just one more before we go

Totally unrelated to the other subjects in this post: I ran across this article just over a week ago which offers an interesting perspective on facts and how people may or may not be persuaded to change their opinions in light of contradictory evidence. Joe Keohane, in an article published on boston.com, writes:

It’s one of the great assumptions underlying modern democracy that an informed citizenry is preferable to an uninformed one. “Whenever the people are well-informed, they can be trusted with their own government,” Thomas Jefferson wrote in 1789. This notion, carried down through the years, underlies everything from humble political pamphlets to presidential debates to the very notion of a free press. Mankind may be crooked timber, as Kant put it, uniquely susceptible to ignorance and misinformation, but it’s an article of faith that knowledge is the best remedy. If people are furnished with the facts, they will be clearer thinkers and better citizens. If they are ignorant, facts will enlighten them. If they are mistaken, facts will set them straight.

In the end, truth will out. Won’t it?

Maybe not. Recently, a few political scientists have begun to discover a human tendency deeply discouraging to anyone with faith in the power of information. It’s this: Facts don’t necessarily have the power to change our minds. In fact, quite the opposite. In a series of studies in 2005 and 2006, researchers at the University of Michigan found that when misinformed people, particularly political partisans, were exposed to corrected facts in news stories, they rarely changed their minds. In fact, they often became even more strongly set in their beliefs. Facts, they found, were not curing misinformation. Like an underpowered antibiotic, facts could actually make misinformation even stronger.

“Don’t confuse me with the facts,” the late U.S. Representative Earl Landgrebe (R-IN) once said as Congress voted on a resolution to impeach President Richard Nixon, “my mind’s made up.” (Landgrebe was the sole vote against Nixon’s impeachment.) Apparently, Landgrebe was right. Some people don’t want to be confused by the facts.

It seems to me that given the whole saga of doping in sports, and in other aspects of life, what the political scientists discovered doesn’t just apply to politics. Take a few moments to read Keohane’s article. It’s an interesting discussion of whether facts can actually change people’s minds.

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Rest Day

by Rant July 12, 2010

Now that the World Cup is over and the Tour de France riders are on their first rest day, it seems like a good time to catch up. By the way things are going in what some on Twitter are calling LandisGate, it appears that at least a few people who are participating in the [...]

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The Bombshell Hits

by Rant July 2, 2010

Well, well, well. Looks like the fireworks have started going off ahead of the Fourth of July, with the much rumored Wall Street Journal article finally hitting the newsstands and the web.
At first glance, the article is stunning in the detail it provides about Floyd Landis’ experiences at the top of the sport, as well [...]

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Mind Games?

by Rant June 29, 2010

A bit more than a day ago, Lance Armstrong tweeted:
And yes, this will be [my] final Tour de France. It’s been a great ride. Looking forward to 3 great weeks.
Really? I have a hard time believing that über-competitor Armstrong will call it quits after this Tour. If he keeps racing his bike, the Tour [...]

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Ramblin’ On

by Rant June 15, 2010

Well, well, well. It’s been a while, hasn’t it? OK, a short while. But it seems like ever so much is going on, what with actual bike racing and all. Today’s big scary finish at the Tour de Suisse pretty much left me scratching my head. Mass sprints are always a dangerous thing, especially at [...]

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